AK-AL House polls
John Williams (D) vs Nick Begich (R). The polls in the forecast's poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Democrat-versus-Republican poll averageR+37.1Democratic against Republican support · not this race’s headline
Polls33 recorded polls · the average counts 3
Latest field dateOct 1Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-01 (3 days old)
EditionOct 4the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The polls and the poll average
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- poll · this edition does not publish each poll’s weight
- poll average of the Democrat against the Republican · this edition records today's level only
- 30 days before this edition
This edition publishes the poll average but not each poll's weight in it, so every poll is drawn the same size and none is marked as counted.
Every poll on file · 17
newest first17 on file · this edition does not publish which are in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times/Siena UniversityGeneral | 504 LV | Nick Begich 46.59John Williams 8.19 | 1d ago | not published | News coverage | |
| Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchGeneral | 800 LV | Nick Begich 45John Williams 9 | not published | Poll release | ||
| The Bullfinch GroupGeneral | 820 LV | Nick Begich 44.2John Williams 7.4 | 2d ago | not published | Poll release | |
| Alaska Survey ResearchGeneral · House | 1,872 LV | Nick Begich 50.6Bill Hill 39.1John Williams 5.7Eric Hafner 4.6 | not published | Pollster post | ||
| Alaska Survey ResearchGeneral · House | 1,371 LV | Nick Begich III 53.5Bill Hill 46.5 | not published | Pollster post | ||
| GBAOGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan | 500 LV | Nick Begich 46Bill Hill 42 | not published | News coverage | ||
| Data for ProgressGeneral | 605 LV | Nick Begich 47Bill Hill 37Neither 12Don't know 4 | not published | Poll release | ||
| The Bullfinch GroupGeneral | 546 LV | Nick Begich 46Matt Schultz 32Bill Hill 20Someone else 2 | not published | Poll release | ||
| The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral | 593 LV | Nick Begich 51.14Matt Schultz 39.16Don't know 8.63Someone else 1.07 | not published | News coverage | ||
| Tavern ResearchGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan | 452 LV | Nick Begich 55Matt Schultz 45+2 other releases | not published | Poll release | ||
| Alaska Survey ResearchGeneral | 1,401 LV | Nick Begich 46.8Matt Schultz 28.4Bill Hill 12.8Other named candidates 7.1John Williams 4.9 | not published | Pollster post | ||
| Alaska Survey ResearchGeneral | 1,923 LV | Nick Begich 46Matt Schultz 28.9Bill Hill 11.3John Williams 4.7Gavin Solomon 4.2Bronco Williams 3.9 | not published | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-11 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.