South Dakota Governor polls
Democrat (D) vs Larry Rhoden (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageR+8.8the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 recorded polls · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 8Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-08 (10 days old)
EditionOct 18the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, R+8.8, is of two polls, which run from R+7.0 to R+10.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+10.8.
Every poll on file · 2
newest first2 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Concord Public Opinion PartnersGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan | 400 LV | R+10.0Larry Rhoden 48Democrat 38 | 2d ago | 0.48 | Poll document | |
| ●Lake Research PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 500 LV | R+7.0Larry Rhoden 51Daniel P. Ahlers 44 | 0.35 | Pollster post |
Archive source date 2026-10-18. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.