Rhode Island Governor polls
Democrat (D) vs Aaron Guckian (R). The polls in the forecast's poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls this forecast is built from
the same polls and figures as the race pageThe forecast’s numbers for this race start from a weighted average of the 4 polls listed here: Helena Foulkes 49.8%, Ken Block 27.6% and Aaron Guckian 21.3%.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Each candidate’s share | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| from 2026-09-23 | Opinion Diagnostics ↗ | 48.8Helena Foulkes28.6Ken Block22.6Aaron Guckian | 800LV |
| from 2026-09-17 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center ↗ | 50.0Helena Foulkes28.4Ken Block19.3Aaron Guckian | 596LV |
| from 2026-08-20 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center ↗ | 52.0Helena Foulkes24.7Ken Block19.5Aaron Guckian | 739LV |
| from 2026-04-13 | Opinion Diagnostics ↗ | 49.3Helena Foulkes26.9Ken Block23.9Aaron Guckian | 802LV |
| Plain average, as the forecast took it | 49.8Helena Foulkes27.6Ken Block21.3Aaron Guckian | 4 polls | |
The polls and the poll average
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- poll in the average · area is its weight in it
- not in the average · shown, not counted
- poll average of the Democrat against the Republican, day by day · each day from the polls fielded by then, ending on today's figure
- 30 days before this edition
The line is the poll average as it stood on each day: the forecast's own rule applied to the polls fielded by then, each weighted as of that day. It starts at the first poll it counts, steps on a poll's own field date and not before, and ends on today's figure. Hover for each day's figure.
Every poll on file · 7
newest first4 in the poll average · 3 shown, not counted · 15 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Opinion DiagnosticsGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan | 800 LV | Helena Foulkes 41Ken Block 24Aaron Guckian 19Don't know 16+1 other release | 0.66 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 596 LV | Helena Foulkes 44Ken Block 25Aaron Guckian 17Don't know 10Someone else 2Christopher Reynolds 2Jasjit Gotra 0 | 0.55 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 739 LV | Helena Foulkes 40Don't know 19Ken Block 19Aaron Guckian 15Someone else 3Jasjit Gotra 3Christopher Reynolds 0+4 other releases | 0.44 | Poll release | ||
| Emerson CollegeGeneral | 1,000 LV | Daniel McKee 35.87Ken Block 25.51Don't know 18.48Generic Republican 17.36Christopher Reynolds 1.8Jasjit Gotra 0.98+1 other release | tests a different matchup | Poll release | ||
| University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral · Governor | 664 LV | Dan McKee 27Ken Block 27Republican 23+3 other releases | tests a different matchup | Poll release | ||
| Emerson CollegeGeneral | 1,000 LV | Daniel McKee 32.6Generic Republican 22.5Ken Block 22.1Don't know 16.7Someone else 6.1+1 other release | tests a different matchup | Poll release | ||
| ●Opinion DiagnosticsGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan | 802 LV | Daniel McKee 28Ken Block 20Aaron Guckian 15+1 other release | 0.10 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-10-08. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.