Nevada Governor polls
Aaron Ford (D) vs Joe Lombardo (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+0.2same figure as the race page
Polls1212 recorded polls · 11 eligible for the aggregate · 10 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 8Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-08 (6 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 12
newest first12 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Emerson CollegeGeneral · Governor | 680 LV | Aaron Ford 44.2Joe Lombardo 42Danielle Ford 2.4+1 other release | 4d ago | 0.629 | Poll release | |
| ●Tarrance GroupGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 550 LV | Joe Lombardo 50Aaron Ford 43 | 0.134 | Poll release | ||
| ●Grassroots TargetingGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 2,500 LV | Joe Lombardo 52Aaron Ford 40 | excluded from aggregate | Poll release | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 558 LV | Joe Lombardo 44Aaron Ford 44Don't know 12 | 0.097 | Poll release | ||
| ●Wedgewood PollsGeneral | 700 LV | Joe Lombardo 50Aaron Ford 47Don't know 3 | 0.074 | Pollster post | ||
| ●Public Opinion StrategiesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 600 LV | Joe Lombardo 51Aaron Ford 42 | 0.045 | Poll release | ||
| ●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 700 LV | Joe Lombardo 45Aaron Ford 42Don't know 8None 5 | 0.008 | Pollster post | ||
| ●Noble Predictive InsightsGeneral · Governor | 845 RV | Joe Lombardo 39Aaron Ford 38+4 other releases | 0.002 | Poll release | ||
| ●Hart Research AssociatesGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 800 LV | Joe Lombardo 46Aaron Ford 43+1 other release | 0.001 | Pollster post | ||
| ●Emerson CollegeGeneral · Governor | 800 RV | Joe Lombardo 41.1Aaron Ford 41.1+1 other release | 0.000 | Poll document | ||
| ●Noble Predictive InsightsGeneral · Governor | 766 RV | Joe Lombardo 40Aaron Ford 37+1 other release | 0.000 | Poll release | ||
| ●Vote TXTGeneral | 412 RV | Joe Lombardo 51Aaron Ford 30 | 0 · not counted | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.