New Mexico Governor polls
Deb Haaland (D) vs Gregg Hull (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 23, 2026D+7.8today's poll average of 5 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | D+7.8 | D+7.8 |
| Oct 9–Oct 22, 2026 | D+7.8 | D+7.8 |
| Sep 30–Oct 8, 2026 | D+8.0 | D+8.1 to D+7.8 |
| Aug 28–Sep 29, 2026 | D+9.2 | D+9.2 to D+8.1 |
| Aug 7–Aug 27, 2026 | D+11.4 | D+11.4 to D+9.3 |
| Jul 15–Aug 6, 2026 | D+1.0 | D+1.0 to D+11.3 |
The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+8.0.
Every poll on file · 5
newest first5 in the poll average
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Research & Polling Inc.General | 1,125 LV | D+7.0Deb Haaland 49Gregg Hull 42Don't know 9 | 0.78 | Poll release | ||
| ●SurveyUSAGeneral | 567 LV | D+6.0Deb Haaland 47Gregg Hull 41Don't know 12 | 0.50 | Poll release | ||
| ●Research & Polling Inc.General | 516 LV | D+6.0Deb Haaland 49Gregg Hull 43Don't know 8 | 0.32 | Poll release | ||
| ●BSP ResearchGeneral | 800 RV | D+17.0Deb Haaland 41Don't know 27Gregg Hull 24Would not vote 4Someone else 3 | 0.32 | Pollster post | ||
| ●McLaughlin & AssociatesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | D+1.0Deb Haaland 46Gregg Hull 45Don't know 9 | 0.17 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.