New Mexico Governor polls
Deb Haaland (D) vs Gregg Hull (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+8.5same figure as the race page
Polls33 recorded polls · 3 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 28Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-28 (12 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 3
newest first3 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Research & Polling Inc.General | 516 LV | Deb Haaland 49Gregg Hull 43Don't know 8 | 0.438 | Poll release | |
| ●BSP ResearchGeneral | 800 RV | Deb Haaland 41Don't know 27Gregg Hull 24Would not vote 4Someone else 3+1 other release | 0.214 | Pollster post | |
| ●McLaughlin & AssociatesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 400 LV | Deb Haaland 46Gregg Hull 45Don't know 9 | 0.051 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.