New Hampshire Governor polls 2026
Cinde Warmington (D) vs Kelly Ayotte (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026R+10.9today's poll average of 13 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | R+10.9 | R+10.9 |
| Oct 20–Oct 27, 2026 | R+10.9 | R+10.9 |
| Oct 12–Oct 19, 2026 | R+11.1 | R+11.1 to R+10.9 |
| Oct 5–Oct 11, 2026 | R+10.3 | R+10.7 to R+11.1 |
| Sep 29–Oct 4, 2026 | R+10.6 | R+10.4 to R+10.6 |
| Sep 22–Sep 28, 2026 | R+11.7 | R+11.1 to R+10.4 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | R+11.8 | R+11.3 |
| Sep 11–Sep 20, 2026 | R+13.2 | R+12.9 to R+11.4 |
| Aug 24–Sep 10, 2026 | R+9.0 | R+9.0 to R+13.0 |
| Aug 18–Aug 23, 2026 | R+8.4 | R+8.9 to R+9.0 |
| Jun 25–Aug 17, 2026 | R+6.8 | R+6.8 to R+8.9 |
| Jun 23–Jun 24, 2026 | R+6.2 | R+6.8 |
| Apr 21–Jun 22, 2026 | R+7.6 | R+7.6 to R+6.8 |
| Mar 18–Apr 20, 2026 | R+7.0 | R+7.0 to R+7.6 |
In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+10.7.
Every poll on file · 21
newest added first13 in the poll average · 8 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint AnselmGeneral · Governor | 1,672 LV | R+8.0Kelly Ayotte 50Cinde Warmington 42 | 5d ago | counted once · listed twice | Poll release | |
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 1,672 LV | R+8.0Kelly Ayotte 50Cinde Warmington 42Don't know 5Someone else 3 | 6d ago | 0.91 | Poll release | |
| ●National Public AffairsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 600 LV | R+16.0Kelly Ayotte 54Cinde Warmington 38Don't know 5Stephen Villee 3 | 0.55 | Poll document | ||
| ●The New York Times/Siena CollegeGeneral | 613 LV | R+11.5Kelly Ayotte 52.31Cinde Warmington 40.84Don't know 6.31Someone else 0.54 | 0.44 | News coverage | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 1,407 LV | R+4.0Kelly Ayotte 47Cinde Warmington 43Don't know 7Stephen Villee 2Someone else 1 | 0.65 | Poll release | ||
| ●co/efficientGeneral | 958 LV | R+21.0Kelly Ayotte 55Cinde Warmington 34Don't know 9Stephen Villee 3 | 0.49 | Poll release | ||
| ●YouGovGeneral | 1,520 LV | R+9.0Kelly Ayotte 49Cinde Warmington 40Don't know 11Would not vote 1Someone else 0 | 0.77 | Poll document | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 1,042 LV | R+7.0Kelly Ayotte 52Cinde Warmington 45Someone else 2Don't know 1 | 0.63 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 1,878 LV | R+10.0Kelly Ayotte 49Cinde Warmington 39Don't know 9Someone else 3 | 0.47 | Poll release | ||
| Saint Anselm College Survey CenterGeneral · Governor | 1,411 LV | R+11.0Kelly Ayotte 49Cinde Warmington 38 | counted once · listed twice | Poll release | ||
| ●St. AnselmGeneral | 1,411 LV | R+11.0Kelly Ayotte 49Cinde Warmington 38Don't know 13 | 0.44 | Poll release | ||
| Saint AnselmGeneral · Governor | 1,614 RV | R+8.0Kelly Ayotte 45Cinde Warmington 37 | counted once · listed twice | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.