Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government
Scored, not ranked: 4 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 10 general-election polls this cycle (number 70 of 251 pollsters by volume), 4 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 4
- Average miss
- 7.5
- Leaned
- R+2.9
- Leader won
- 75%
- Vs. field
- +2.4
- Score
- +1.1
Leaned is over 4 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 4 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 3.9 | D+3.9 | 100% | +1.0 | 3 |
| Governor | 1 | 5.3 | D+5.3 | 100% | +2.2 | 3 |
| House districts | 2 | 10.4 | R+10.4 | 50% | +3.3 | 4 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas SenateOct 22 to Oct 26 · 801 likely votersAdam Hamilton 52, Roger Marshall 43; count 51.0 to 46.0 | D+9.0 | D+5.1 | D+3.9 | 2.9 | Release |
| Kansas governorOct 22 to Oct 26 · 801 likely votersCindy Holscher 51, Ty Masterson 45; count 50.4 to 49.6 | D+6.0 | D+0.7 | D+5.3 | 3.1 | Release |
| Texas 34th DistrictOct 14 to Oct 19 · 626 likely votersVicente Gonzalez 50, Eric Flores 43; count 55.7 to 39.7 | D+7.0 | D+16.0 | R+9.0 | 5.5† | Release |
| Texas 35th DistrictOct 14 to Oct 19 · 605 likely votersJohnny C. Garcia 47, Carlos De La Cruz 48; count 55.4 to 44.6 | R+1.0 | D+10.9 | R+11.9 | 8.9 | Release |
Releases: Kansas Senate · Kansas governor · Texas 34th District · Texas 35th District
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
† Fewer than two other pollsters released a final poll of this race, so the field miss is the average for that race type.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.