Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
SurveyUSA
Scored, not ranked: 3 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 27 general-election polls this cycle (number 24 of 251 pollsters by volume), 3 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 3
- Average miss
- 4.4
- Leaned
- R+4.4
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −1.2
- Score
- −0.5
Leaned is over 3 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 3 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 3.2 | R+3.2 | 100% | −2.5 | 8 |
| Governor | 2 | 5.0 | R+5.0 | 100% | −0.6 | 11 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 8 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota SenateOct 24 to Oct 28 · 714 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 48, Michele Tafoya 41; count 53.7 to 43.5 | D+7.0 | D+10.2 | R+3.2 | 5.7 | Releasefor KSTP-TV Minneapolis |
| California governorOct 19 to Oct 24 · 799 likely votersXavier Becerra 54, Steve Hilton 32; count 65.6 to 34.4 | D+22.0 | D+31.2 | R+9.2 | 7.8 | Releasefor KGTV-TV (California) | San Diego Union-Tribune |
| Minnesota governorOct 24 to Oct 28 · 714 likely votersAmy Klobuchar 51, Lisa Demuth 39; count 55.5 to 42.6 | D+12.0 | D+12.9 | R+0.9 | 3.4 | Releasefor KSTP-TV Minneapolis |
Releases: Minnesota Senate · California governor · Minnesota governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: SurveyUSA on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.