Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
St. Pete Polls
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 7 general-election polls this cycle (number 83 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 1.2
- Leaned
- R+1.2
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −2.0
- Score
- −0.6
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 1.4 | R+1.4 | 100% | −1.8 | 3 |
| Governor | 1 | 1.0 | R+1.0 | 100% | −2.3 | 3 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida SenateOct 25 to Oct 27 · 916 likely votersAngie Nixon 44.7, Ashley Moody 49; count 48.0 to 50.9 | R+4.3 | R+2.9 | R+1.4 | 3.2 | Releasefor Florida Politics |
| Florida governorOct 25 to Oct 27 · 916 likely votersDavid Jolly 45.5, Byron Donalds 47.8; count 48.7 to 50.0 | R+2.3 | R+1.3 | R+1.0 | 3.3 | Releasefor Florida Politics |
Releases: Florida Senate · Florida governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: St. Pete Polls on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.