Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Saint Anselm College
Scored, not ranked: 4 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 19 general-election polls this cycle (number 36 of 251 pollsters by volume), 4 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 4
- Average miss
- 6.1
- Leaned
- R+6.1
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +0.9
- Score
- +0.4
Leaned is over 4 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 4 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 6.8 | R+6.8 | 100% | +0.8 | 7 |
| Governor | 1 | 3.6 | R+3.6 | 100% | +0.1 | 5 |
| House districts | 2 | 7.0 | R+7.0 | 100% | +1.4 | 7 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Hampshire SenateOct 19 to Oct 20 · 1,672 likely votersChris Pappas 50, John E. Sununu 43; count 55.9 to 42.1 | D+7.0 | D+13.8 | R+6.8 | 5.9 | Release |
| New Hampshire governorOct 19 to Oct 20 · 1,672 likely votersCinde Warmington 42, Kelly Ayotte 50; count 47.0 to 51.4 | R+8.0 | R+4.4 | R+3.6 | 3.5 | Release |
| New Hampshire 1st DistrictOct 19 to Oct 20 · 861 likely votersStefany Shaheen 46, Anthony DiLorenzo 42; count 57.0 to 42.9 | D+4.0 | D+14.1 | R+10.1 | 5.6† | Release |
| New Hampshire 2nd DistrictOct 19 to Oct 20 · 811 likely votersMaggie Goodlander 54, Lily Tang Williams 38; count 58.8 to 38.8 | D+16.0 | D+20.0 | R+4.0 | 5.6† | Release |
Releases: New Hampshire Senate · New Hampshire governor · New Hampshire 1st District · New Hampshire 2nd District
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
† Fewer than two other pollsters released a final poll of this race, so the field miss is the average for that race type.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Saint Anselm College on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.