Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Public Opinion Strategies
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 9 general-election polls this cycle (number 73 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race. 78% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 4.0
- Leaned
- —
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −5.8
- Score
- −1.0
Leaned is over 0 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 2 |
| Senate | 1 | 4.0 | — | 100% | −5.8 | 3 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 2 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota SenateOct 12 to Oct 16 · 500 likely voters · Republican sponsorMike Rounds 54, Brian L Bengs 37; count 60.5 to 39.5 | Rounds +17.0 | Rounds +21.0 | 4.0 | 9.8 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table |
Releases: South Dakota Senate
1 of these 1 polls had a partisan sponsor. They are scored the same way.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Public Opinion Strategies on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.