Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
National Research
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 1 general-election polls this cycle (number 219 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race. 100% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 11.7
- Leaned
- R+11.7
- Leader won
- 0%
- Vs. field
- +10.3
- Score
- +1.7
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| House districts | 1 | 11.7 | R+11.7 | 0% | +10.3 | 1 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida 25th DistrictOct 12 to Oct 15 · 400 likely voters · Republican sponsorJared Moskowitz 42, Scott Singer 49; count 51.2 to 46.6 | R+7.0 | D+4.7 | R+11.7 | 1.4 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table · for NRCC |
Releases: Florida 25th District
1 of these 1 polls had a partisan sponsor. They are scored the same way.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: National Research on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.