Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
McLaughlin & Associates
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 35 general-election polls this cycle (number 17 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 15.5
- Leaned
- R+15.5
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +8.7
- Score
- +1.5
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 26 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Governor | 1 | 15.5 | R+15.5 | 100% | +8.7 | 5 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California governorOct 17 to Oct 20 · 800 likely votersXavier Becerra 55, Steve Hilton 39.3; count 65.6 to 34.4 | D+15.7 | D+31.2 | R+15.5 | 6.8 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table · for California Post |
Releases: California governor
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: McLaughlin & Associates on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.