Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Hendrix College
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 5 general-election polls this cycle (number 107 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 3.3
- Leaned
- R+0.5
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −2.0
- Score
- −0.6
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 2.8 | D+2.8 | 100% | −2.2 | 2 |
| Governor | 1 | 3.7 | R+3.7 | 100% | −1.8 | 2 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas SenateOct 8 to Oct 13 · 709 likely votersHallie Shoffner 41, Tom Cotton 50; count 42.4 to 54.3 | R+9.0 | R+11.8 | D+2.8 | 5.0† | Releasefor Talk Business & Politics |
| Arkansas governorOct 8 to Oct 13 · 709 likely votersFred Love 32, Sarah Huckabee Sanders 51; count 38.6 to 53.9 | R+19.0 | R+15.3 | R+3.7 | 5.5† | Releasefor Talk Business & Politics |
Releases: Arkansas Senate · Arkansas governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
† Fewer than two other pollsters released a final poll of this race, so the field miss is the average for that race type.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Hendrix College on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.