Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
East Carolina University Center for Survey Research
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 4 general-election polls this cycle (number 121 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 9.5
- Leaned
- R+9.5
- Leader won
- 50%
- Vs. field
- +3.1
- Score
- +0.9
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 2 | 9.5 | R+9.5 | 50% | +3.1 | 4 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina SenateOct 26 to Oct 29 · 1,041 likely votersRoy Cooper 54, Michael Whatley 44.9; count 58.8 to 39.0 | D+9.1 | D+19.7 | R+10.6 | 8.3 | Release |
| South Carolina SenateOct 19 to Oct 24 · 955 likely votersAnnie Andrews 47.3, Darline Graham 51.2; count 51.1 to 46.6 | R+3.9 | D+4.5 | R+8.4 | 4.5 | Release |
Releases: North Carolina Senate · South Carolina Senate
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: East Carolina University Center for Survey Research on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.