Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Cygnal
Scored, not ranked: 3 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 48 general-election polls this cycle (number 10 of 251 pollsters by volume), 3 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 3
- Average miss
- 6.0
- Leaned
- R+6.0
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +0.7
- Score
- +0.3
Leaned is over 3 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 3 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its 3 polls is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 5.4 | R+5.4 | 100% | +0.3 | 29 |
| Senate | 1 | 5.3 | R+5.3 | 100% | −1.1 | 9 |
| Governor | 1 | 7.3 | R+7.3 | 100% | +2.8 | 10 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteOct 23 to Oct 24 · 1,500 likely voters · count not finalDemocrats 51.5, Republicans 43.1; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+8.4 | D+13.8 | R+5.4 | 5.1 | Release |
| Alabama SenateOct 16 to Oct 17 · 500 likely votersEverett Wess 35, Barry Moore 49.8; count 45.2 to 54.7 | R+14.8 | R+9.5 | R+5.3 | 6.3 | Releasefor Alabama Daily News | Gray Television |
| Alabama governorOct 16 to Oct 17 · 500 likely votersDoug Jones 40, Tommy Tuberville 51.2; count 47.9 to 51.8 | R+11.2 | R+3.9 | R+7.3 | 4.5 | Releasefor Alabama Daily News | Gray Television |
Releases: National House vote · Alabama Senate · Alabama governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Cygnal on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.