Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Verasight
Ranked 12 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 21 general-election polls this cycle (number 33 of 251 pollsters by volume), 5 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 5
- Average miss
- 5.6
- Leaned
- R+5.6
- Leader won
- 80%
- Vs. field
- −0.3
- Score
- −0.2
Leaned is over 5 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 5 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its 5 polls is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 1.8 | R+1.8 | 100% | −3.4 | 17 |
| Senate | 2 | 5.3 | R+5.3 | 100% | −0.3 | 2 |
| Governor | 2 | 7.8 | R+7.8 | 50% | +1.2 | 2 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteOct 13 to Oct 19 · 1,824 likely voters · count not finalDemocrats 54, Republicans 42; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+12.0 | D+13.8 | R+1.8 | 5.2 | Releasefor Strength In Numbers |
| Ohio SenateOct 1 to Oct 20 · 531 likely votersSherrod Brown 47.5, Jon Husted 43.6; count 50.0 to 45.1 | D+3.9 | D+4.8 | R+0.9 | 2.6 | Releasefor VoteHub |
| Texas SenateOct 1 to Oct 20 · 601 likely votersJames Talarico 47.6, Ken Paxton 45.2; count 55.1 to 43.0 | D+2.4 | D+12.1 | R+9.7 | 8.7 | Releasefor VoteHub |
| Ohio governorOct 1 to Oct 20 · 531 likely votersAmy Acton 46.2, Vivek Ramaswamy 45.4; count 52.3 to 44.4 | D+0.8 | D+7.9 | R+7.1 | 4.1 | Releasefor VoteHub |
| Texas governorOct 1 to Oct 20 · 601 likely votersGina Hinojosa 46.4, Greg Abbott 47.7; count 52.8 to 45.7 | R+1.3 | D+7.1 | R+8.4 | 9.1 | Releasefor VoteHub |
Releases: National House vote · Ohio Senate · Texas Senate · Ohio governor · Texas governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.