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2026 midtermsAnalysis

Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard

University of Georgia

Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 3 general-election polls this cycle (number 148 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.

Final polls
2
Average miss
9.9
Leaned
R+9.9
Leader won
50%
Vs. field
+1.2
Score
+0.3

Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.

By race type

Race typePollsAvg. missLeanedLeader wonVs. fieldAll its polls, 2026
National House vote0————0
Senate110.1R+10.1100%+1.42
Governor19.7R+9.70%+1.01
House districts0————0

Every scored poll

ContestPollResultMissed towardField missSource
Georgia SenateOct 7 to Oct 15 · 1,000 likely votersJon Ossoff 48, Mike Collins 40; count 59.0 to 41.0D+8.0D+18.1R+10.18.7Releasefor Atlanta Journal-Constitution
Georgia governorOct 7 to Oct 15 · 1,000 likely votersKeisha Lance Bottoms 45, Rick Jackson 46; count 54.3 to 45.7R+1.0D+8.7R+9.78.7Releasefor Atlanta Journal-Constitution

From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.

A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.