Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
UMass Lowell
Scored, not ranked: 4 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 13 general-election polls this cycle (number 60 of 251 pollsters by volume), 4 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 4
- Average miss
- 2.8
- Leaned
- R+2.5
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −2.9
- Score
- −1.3
Leaned is over 4 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 4 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
| Senate | 2 | 4.5 | R+4.5 | 100% | −1.8 | 6 |
| Governor | 2 | 1.2 | R+0.4 | 100% | −4.0 | 4 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts SenateOct 7 to Oct 18 · 850 likely votersEdward J. Markey 55, John Deaton 26; count 63.4 to 32.1 | D+29.0 | D+31.3 | R+2.3 | 6.7 | Release |
| New Hampshire SenateOct 2 to Oct 19 · 600 likely votersChris Pappas 48, John E. Sununu 41; count 55.9 to 42.1 | D+7.0 | D+13.8 | R+6.8 | 5.9 | Release |
| Massachusetts governorOct 7 to Oct 18 · 850 likely votersMaura Healey 57, Michael Roger Minogue 29; count 62.0 to 34.7 | D+28.0 | D+27.3 | D+0.7 | 6.5 | Release |
| New Hampshire governorOct 2 to Oct 19 · 600 likely votersCinde Warmington 42, Kelly Ayotte 48; count 47.0 to 51.4 | R+6.0 | R+4.4 | R+1.6 | 3.9 | Release |
Releases: Massachusetts Senate · New Hampshire Senate · Massachusetts governor · New Hampshire governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.