Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
TrueDot
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 5 general-election polls this cycle (number 114 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 11.2
- Leaned
- R+11.2
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +3.7
- Score
- +0.6
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Governor | 1 | 11.2 | R+11.2 | 100% | +3.7 | 2 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California governorOct 9 to Oct 14 · 909 likely votersXavier Becerra 55, Steve Hilton 35; count 65.6 to 34.4 | D+20.0 | D+31.2 | R+11.2 | 7.5 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table · for Politico | UC Berkeley Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research |
Releases: California governor
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.