Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
TIPP Insights
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 17 general-election polls this cycle (number 45 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race. 71% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 3.8
- Leaned
- R+3.8
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −1.3
- Score
- −0.2
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its poll is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 3.8 | R+3.8 | 100% | −1.3 | 5 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 5 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 7 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteOct 27 to Oct 30 · 1,158 likely voters · count not finalDemocrats 52, Republicans 42; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+10.0 | D+13.8 | R+3.8 | 5.1 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table · for Issues & Insights |
Releases: National House vote
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: TIPP Insights on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.