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2026 midtermsAnalysis

Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard

The Alabama Poll

Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 2 general-election polls this cycle (number 180 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.

Final polls
2
Average miss
9.8
Leaned
R+9.8
Leader won
100%
Vs. field
+6.1
Score
+1.7

Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.

By race type

Race typePollsAvg. missLeanedLeader wonVs. fieldAll its polls, 2026
National House vote0————0
Senate111.5R+11.5100%+8.31
Governor18.1R+8.1100%+4.01
House districts0————0

Every scored poll

ContestPollResultMissed towardField missSource
Alabama SenateOct 15 to Oct 16 · 600 likely votersEverett Wess 35, Barry Moore 56; count 45.2 to 54.7R+21.0R+9.5R+11.53.3Release
Alabama governorOct 15 to Oct 16 · 600 likely votersDoug Jones 39, Tommy Tuberville 51; count 47.9 to 51.8R+12.0R+3.9R+8.14.1Release

From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.

A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.