Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Survey 160
Ranked 2 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 14 general-election polls this cycle (number 55 of 251 pollsters by volume), 8 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 8
- Average miss
- 1.9
- Leaned
- R+1.6
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −2.3
- Score
- −1.4
Leaned is over 8 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 8 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 6 |
| Senate | 4 | 1.5 | R+1.0 | 100% | −2.3 | 4 |
| Governor | 4 | 2.2 | R+2.1 | 100% | −2.3 | 4 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas SenateOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,267 likely votersAdam Hamilton 50, Roger Marshall 44; count 51.0 to 46.0 | D+6.0 | D+5.1 | D+0.9 | 3.2 | Release |
| Maine SenateOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,322 likely votersTroy Jackson 50, Susan Collins 47; count 53.0 to 47.0 | D+3.0 | D+6.1 | R+3.1 | 3.2 | Release |
| Minnesota SenateOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,365 likely votersPeggy Flanagan 52, Michele Tafoya 43; count 53.7 to 43.5 | D+9.0 | D+10.2 | R+1.2 | 6.0 | Release |
| Ohio SenateOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,122 likely votersSherrod Brown 50, Jon Husted 46; count 50.0 to 45.1 | D+4.0 | D+4.8 | R+0.8 | 2.6 | Release |
| Kansas governorOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,267 likely votersCindy Holscher 49, Ty Masterson 48; count 50.4 to 49.6 | D+1.0 | D+0.7 | D+0.3 | 3.7 | Release |
| Maine governorOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,323 likely votersHannah Pingree 53, Bobby Charles 41; count 54.4 to 37.5 | D+12.0 | D+16.9 | R+4.9 | 7.0 | Release |
| Minnesota governorOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,365 likely votersAmy Klobuchar 53, Lisa Demuth 43; count 55.5 to 42.6 | D+10.0 | D+12.9 | R+2.9 | 3.0 | Release |
| Ohio governorOct 27 to Nov 1 · 1,122 likely votersAmy Acton 51, Vivek Ramaswamy 44; count 52.3 to 44.4 | D+7.0 | D+7.9 | R+0.9 | 4.5 | Release |
Releases: Kansas Senate · Maine Senate · Minnesota Senate · Ohio Senate · Kansas governor · Maine governor · Minnesota governor · Ohio governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.