Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Suffolk University
Scored, not ranked: 4 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 19 general-election polls this cycle (number 37 of 251 pollsters by volume), 4 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 4
- Average miss
- 3.4
- Leaned
- R+3.4
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −1.0
- Score
- −0.4
Leaned is over 4 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 4 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 2 | 2.6 | R+2.6 | 100% | −1.9 | 9 |
| Governor | 2 | 4.3 | R+4.3 | 100% | −0.1 | 10 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts SenateOct 14 to Oct 18 · 500 likely votersEdward J. Markey 60, John Deaton 31.8; count 63.4 to 32.1 | D+28.2 | D+31.3 | R+3.1 | 6.3 | Releasefor Boston Globe |
| Ohio SenateOct 21 to Oct 26 · 500 likely votersSherrod Brown 46.6, Jon Husted 43.8; count 50.0 to 45.1 | D+2.8 | D+4.8 | R+2.0 | 2.6 | Releasefor USA Today |
| Massachusetts governorOct 14 to Oct 18 · 500 likely votersMaura Healey 58.6, Michael Roger Minogue 36; count 62.0 to 34.7 | D+22.6 | D+27.3 | R+4.7 | 4.5 | Releasefor Boston Globe |
| Ohio governorOct 21 to Oct 26 · 500 likely votersAmy Acton 48, Vivek Ramaswamy 44; count 52.3 to 44.4 | D+4.0 | D+7.9 | R+3.9 | 4.3 | Releasefor USA Today |
Releases: Massachusetts Senate · Ohio Senate · Massachusetts governor · Ohio governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Suffolk University on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.