Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
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Scored, not ranked: 3 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 7 general-election polls this cycle (number 84 of 251 pollsters by volume), 3 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 3
- Average miss
- 4.0
- Leaned
- R+1.6
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −1.9
- Score
- −0.7
Leaned is over 3 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 3 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Governor | 3 | 4.0 | R+1.6 | 100% | −1.9 | 7 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia governorOct 23 to Oct 27 · 679 likely votersKeisha Lance Bottoms 50, Rick Jackson 47; count 54.3 to 45.7 | D+3.0 | D+8.7 | R+5.7 | 9.3 | Release |
| Minnesota governorOct 26 to Oct 28 · 806 likely votersAmy Klobuchar 52, Lisa Demuth 42; count 55.5 to 42.6 | D+10.0 | D+12.9 | R+2.9 | 3.0 | Release |
| Vermont governorOct 23 to Oct 25 · 1,752 likely votersAmanda Janoo 46, Phil Scott 49; count 45.8 to 52.4 | R+3.0 | R+6.6 | D+3.6 | 5.5† | Release |
Releases: Georgia governor · Minnesota governor · Vermont governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
† Fewer than two other pollsters released a final poll of this race, so the field miss is the average for that race type.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.