Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Quantus Insights
Ranked 16 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 65 general-election polls this cycle (number 6 of 251 pollsters by volume), 9 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 9
- Average miss
- 8.7
- Leaned
- R+10.2
- Leader won
- 56%
- Vs. field
- +0.5
- Score
- +0.3
Leaned is over 7 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 9 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 25 |
| Senate | 5 | 8.3 | R+11.5 | 80% | −0.7 | 25 |
| Governor | 2 | 11.3 | R+11.3 | 0% | +2.6 | 12 |
| House districts | 2 | 6.9 | R+6.9 | 50% | +1.3 | 3 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia SenateOct 15 to Oct 17 · 755 likely votersJon Ossoff 52.7, Mike Collins 45.4; count 59.0 to 41.0 | D+7.3 | D+18.1 | R+10.8 | 8.5 | Release |
| Montana SenateOct 15 to Oct 18 · 667 likely votersKurt Alme 45.6, Seth Bodnar 29.4; count 48.2 to 37.7 | Alme +16.2 | Alme +10.4 | 5.8 | 8.9 | Release |
| North Carolina SenateOct 24 to Oct 25 · 722 likely votersRoy Cooper 52.4, Michael Whatley 43.4; count 58.8 to 39.0 | D+9.0 | D+19.7 | R+10.7 | 8.3 | Release |
| South Dakota SenateOct 17 to Oct 19 · 657 likely votersMike Rounds 59.4, Brian L Bengs 37.3; count 60.5 to 39.5 | Rounds +22.1 | Rounds +21.0 | 1.1 | 10.5 | Release |
| Texas SenateOct 26 to Oct 28 · 1,207 likely votersJames Talarico 48.4, Ken Paxton 49.4; count 55.1 to 43.0 | R+1.0 | D+12.1 | R+13.1 | 8.6 | Release |
| Georgia governorOct 15 to Oct 17 · 755 likely votersKeisha Lance Bottoms 47.5, Rick Jackson 49; count 54.3 to 45.7 | R+1.5 | D+8.7 | R+10.2 | 8.6 | Release |
| Texas governorOct 26 to Oct 28 · 1,214 likely votersGina Hinojosa 46.3, Greg Abbott 51.6; count 52.8 to 45.7 | R+5.3 | D+7.1 | R+12.4 | 8.9 | Release |
| Indiana 5th DistrictOct 21 to Oct 22 · 634 likely votersJ.D. Ford 44.6, Victoria Spartz 47.4; count 51.7 to 48.3 | R+2.8 | D+3.3 | R+6.1 | 5.6† | Release |
| Ohio 1st DistrictOct 19 to Oct 21 · 561 likely votersGreg Landsman 47.6, Eric Conroy 43.9; count 54.4 to 42.9 | D+3.7 | D+11.4 | R+7.7 | 5.6† | Release |
Releases: Georgia Senate · Montana Senate · North Carolina Senate · South Dakota Senate · Texas Senate · Georgia governor · Texas governor · Indiana 5th District · Ohio 1st District
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
† Fewer than two other pollsters released a final poll of this race, so the field miss is the average for that race type.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Quantus Insights on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.