Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Pollfinity
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 3 general-election polls this cycle (number 143 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 6.6
- Leaned
- R+6.6
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −2.4
- Score
- −0.7
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 7.1 | R+7.1 | 100% | −1.7 | 1 |
| Governor | 1 | 6.1 | R+6.1 | 100% | −3.1 | 2 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas SenateOct 15 to Oct 18 · 278 likely votersJames Talarico 48, Ken Paxton 43; count 55.1 to 43.0 | D+5.0 | D+12.1 | R+7.1 | 8.8 | Release |
| Texas governorOct 15 to Oct 18 · 278 likely votersGina Hinojosa 46, Greg Abbott 45; count 52.8 to 45.7 | D+1.0 | D+7.1 | R+6.1 | 9.2 | Release |
Releases: Texas Senate · Texas governor
From Call the Map's poll archive, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.