Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Pennsylvania State University McCourtney Institute for Democracy/YouGov
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 3 general-election polls this cycle (number 142 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 9.8
- Leaned
- R+9.8
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +4.9
- Score
- +0.8
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its poll is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 9.8 | R+9.8 | 100% | +4.9 | 3 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteOct 14 to Oct 20 · 724 likely voters · count not finalDemocrats 47, Republicans 43; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+4.0 | D+13.8 | R+9.8 | 4.9 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table |
Releases: National House vote
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.