Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Muhlenberg College
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 1 general-election polls this cycle (number 217 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 6.4
- Leaned
- R+6.4
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −0.9
- Score
- −0.2
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| House districts | 1 | 6.4 | R+6.4 | 100% | −0.9 | 1 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pennsylvania 7th DistrictOct 6 to Oct 15 · 529 likely votersBob Brooks 49, Ryan Mackenzie 43; count 56.2 to 43.8 | D+6.0 | D+12.4 | R+6.4 | 7.3 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table |
Releases: Pennsylvania 7th District
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Muhlenberg College on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.