Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Mitchell Research & Communications
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 13 general-election polls this cycle (number 58 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 2.9
- Leaned
- R+2.9
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +0.1
- Score
- 0.0
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 0.0 | Even | 100% | −2.9 | 6 |
| Governor | 1 | 5.8 | R+5.8 | 100% | +3.0 | 7 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan SenateOct 26 to Oct 27 · 636 likely votersAbdul El-Sayed 51, Mike Rogers 44; count 52.5 to 45.5 | D+7.0 | D+7.0 | Even | 2.9 | Releasefor CBS Detroit |
| Michigan governorOct 26 to Oct 27 · 636 likely votersJocelyn Benson 49, John James 44; count 54.5 to 43.7 | D+5.0 | D+10.8 | R+5.8 | 2.7 | Releasefor CBS Detroit |
Releases: Michigan Senate · Michigan governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Mitchell Research & Communications on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.