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2026 midtermsAnalysis

Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard

Marquette University Law School

Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 11 general-election polls this cycle (number 65 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race.

Final polls
1
Average miss
1.0
Leaned
R+1.0
Leader won
100%
Vs. field
−3.0
Score
−0.5

Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.

By race type

Race typePollsAvg. missLeanedLeader wonVs. fieldAll its polls, 2026
National House vote0————7
Senate0————0
Governor11.0R+1.0100%−3.04
House districts0————0

Every scored poll

ContestPollResultMissed towardField missSource
Wisconsin governorOct 14 to Oct 22 · 668 likely votersDavid Crowley 53, Tom Tiffany 46; count 54.0 to 46.0D+7.0D+8.0R+1.03.9ReleaseFrom the New York Times table

A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Marquette University Law School on the pollsters page.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.