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2026 midtermsAnalysis

Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard

Lake Research Partners

Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 15 general-election polls this cycle (number 48 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race. 93% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.

Final polls
1
Average miss
12.9
Leaned
R+12.9
Leader won
100%
Vs. field
+5.3
Score
+0.9

Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.

By race type

Race typePollsAvg. missLeanedLeader wonVs. fieldAll its polls, 2026
National House vote0————0
Senate0————2
Governor112.9R+12.9100%+5.36
House districts0————7

Every scored poll

ContestPollResultMissed towardField missSource
Colorado governorSep 16 to Oct 30 · 600 registered votersPhil Weiser 51, Victor Marx 36; count 61.1 to 33.2D+15.0D+27.9R+12.97.6ReleaseFrom Call the Map's poll archive · for Ballot Initiative Strategy Center

A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Lake Research Partners on the pollsters page.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.