Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
John Zogby Strategies
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 11 general-election polls this cycle (number 64 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 6.4
- Leaned
- R+6.4
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +2.6
- Score
- +0.7
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its 2 polls is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 7.8 | R+7.8 | 100% | +2.8 | 7 |
| Senate | 1 | 5.0 | R+5.0 | 100% | +2.3 | 1 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteNov 1 to Nov 2 · 1,001 likely voters · count not finalDemocrats 53, Republicans 47; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+6.0 | D+13.8 | R+7.8 | 5.0 | Release |
| Michigan SenateOct 31 to Nov 2 · 1,001 likely votersAbdul El-Sayed 51, Mike Rogers 49; count 52.5 to 45.5 | D+2.0 | D+7.0 | R+5.0 | 2.7 | Release |
Releases: National House vote · Michigan Senate
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.