Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Impact Research
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 42 general-election polls this cycle (number 13 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race. 93% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 3.9
- Leaned
- R+3.5
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −1.5
- Score
- −0.4
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Senate | 2 | 3.9 | R+3.5 | 100% | −1.5 | 13 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 4 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 24 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska SenateOct 14 to Oct 20 · 600 likely voters · Democratic sponsorPete Ricketts 49, Dan Osborn 47; count 50.1 to 43.9 | Ricketts +2.0 | Ricketts +6.2 | 4.2 | 5.7 | Release |
| South Carolina SenateOct 15 to Oct 21 · 800 likely voters · Democratic sponsorAnnie Andrews 45, Darline Graham 44; count 51.1 to 46.6 | D+1.0 | D+4.5 | R+3.5 | 5.0 | Releasefor Fresh Start SC PAC |
Releases: Nebraska Senate · South Carolina Senate
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
2 of these 2 polls had a partisan sponsor. They are scored the same way.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Impact Research on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.