Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
HarrisX
Ranked 20 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 9 general-election polls this cycle (number 71 of 251 pollsters by volume), 6 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 6
- Average miss
- 6.0
- Leaned
- R+5.6
- Leader won
- 67%
- Vs. field
- +1.1
- Score
- +0.6
Leaned is over 6 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 6 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
| Senate | 3 | 4.3 | R+4.3 | 100% | −0.4 | 3 |
| Governor | 3 | 7.8 | R+6.9 | 33% | +2.5 | 3 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan SenateOct 30 to Nov 1 · likely votersAbdul El-Sayed 48, Mike Rogers 45; count 52.5 to 45.5 | D+3.0 | D+7.0 | R+4.0 | 2.7 | Release |
| Ohio SenateOct 30 to Nov 1 · likely votersSherrod Brown 47, Jon Husted 45; count 50.0 to 45.1 | D+2.0 | D+4.8 | R+2.9 | 2.5 | Release |
| Texas SenateOct 30 to Nov 1 · likely votersJames Talarico 50, Ken Paxton 44; count 55.1 to 43.0 | D+6.0 | D+12.1 | R+6.1 | 8.9 | Release |
| Michigan governorOct 30 to Nov 1 · likely votersJocelyn Benson 53, John James 41; count 54.5 to 43.7 | D+12.0 | D+10.8 | D+1.3 | 3.0 | Release |
| Ohio governorOct 30 to Nov 1 · likely votersAmy Acton 45, Vivek Ramaswamy 47; count 52.3 to 44.4 | R+2.0 | D+7.9 | R+9.9 | 4.0 | Release |
| Texas governorOct 30 to Nov 1 · likely votersGina Hinojosa 46, Greg Abbott 51; count 52.8 to 45.7 | R+5.0 | D+7.1 | R+12.1 | 8.9 | Release |
Releases: Michigan Senate · Ohio Senate · Texas Senate · Michigan governor · Ohio governor · Texas governor
Entered from the pollster's release, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: HarrisX on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.