Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Harper Polling
Scored, not ranked: 1 final poll, and a rank takes 5. 10 general-election polls this cycle (number 68 of 251 pollsters by volume), 1 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 1
- Average miss
- 9.4
- Leaned
- R+9.4
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- +1.0
- Score
- +0.2
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 1 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 9.4 | R+9.4 | 100% | +1.0 | 8 |
| Governor | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina SenateOct 18 to Oct 20 · 600 likely votersRoy Cooper 49.4, Michael Whatley 39.1; count 58.8 to 39.0 | D+10.3 | D+19.7 | R+9.4 | 8.4 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table · for Carolina Journal |
Releases: North Carolina Senate
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Harper Polling on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.