Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Global Strategy Group
Scored, not ranked: 3 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 25 general-election polls this cycle (number 27 of 251 pollsters by volume), 3 of them a final poll of a race. 100% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 3
- Average miss
- 2.6
- Leaned
- D+2.2
- Leader won
- 83%
- Vs. field
- −2.2
- Score
- −0.8
Leaned is over 3 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 3 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Senate | 0 | — | — | — | — | 6 |
| Governor | 2 | 3.8 | D+3.1 | 75% | −0.6 | 6 |
| House districts | 1 | 0.3 | D+0.3 | 100% | −5.4 | 12 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas governorOct 18 to Oct 21 · 600 likely voters · Democratic sponsorCindy Holscher 47, Ty Masterson 47; count 50.4 to 49.6 | Even | D+0.7 | R+0.7 | 3.6 | Release |
| Nebraska governorOct 13 to Oct 18 · 800 likely voters · Democratic sponsorLynne Walz 39, Jim Pillen 40; count 42.5 to 50.5 | R+1.0 | R+8.0 | D+7.0 | 5.2 | Release |
| Colorado 5th DistrictOct 14 to Oct 18 · 500 likely voters · Democratic sponsorJessica Killin 43, Jeff Crank 38; count 50.5 to 45.8 | D+5.0 | D+4.7 | D+0.3 | 5.7† | Release |
Releases: Kansas governor · Nebraska governor · Colorado 5th District
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
† Fewer than two other pollsters released a final poll of this race, so the field miss is the average for that race type.
3 of these 3 polls had a partisan sponsor. They are scored the same way.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Global Strategy Group on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.