Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Glengariff Group
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 13 general-election polls this cycle (number 57 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 2.3
- Leaned
- R+2.3
- Leader won
- 100%
- Vs. field
- −0.6
- Score
- −0.2
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 0.7 | R+0.7 | 100% | −2.2 | 6 |
| Governor | 1 | 3.9 | R+3.9 | 100% | +1.0 | 7 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan SenateOct 19 to Oct 22 · 600 likely votersAbdul El-Sayed 51.4, Mike Rogers 45.1; count 52.5 to 45.5 | D+6.3 | D+7.0 | R+0.7 | 2.9 | Releasefor Detroit News | WDIV-TV |
| Michigan governorOct 19 to Oct 22 · 600 likely votersJocelyn Benson 51.4, John James 44.5; count 54.5 to 43.7 | D+6.9 | D+10.8 | R+3.9 | 2.8 | Releasefor Detroit News | WDIV-TV |
Releases: Michigan Senate · Michigan governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Glengariff Group on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.