Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
GBAO
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 33 general-election polls this cycle (number 19 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race. 94% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 8.5
- Leaned
- R+9.7
- Leader won
- 0%
- Vs. field
- +1.4
- Score
- +0.4
Leaned is over 1 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 4 |
| Senate | 1 | 7.2 | — | 0% | +1.9 | 10 |
| Governor | 1 | 9.7 | R+9.7 | 0% | +1.0 | 7 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 12 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska SenateOct 18 to Oct 22 · 800 likely voters · partisan sponsorPete Ricketts 45, Dan Osborn 46; count 50.1 to 43.9 | Osborn +1.0 | Ricketts +6.2 | 7.2 | 5.3 | ReleaseFrom the New York Times table · for Working Class Majority PAC |
| Georgia governorOct 7 to Oct 15 · 2,000 registered votersKeisha Lance Bottoms 45, Rick Jackson 46; count 54.3 to 45.7 | R+1.0 | D+8.7 | R+9.7 | 8.7 | ReleaseFrom Call the Map's poll archive · for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution |
Releases: Nebraska Senate · Georgia governor
1 of these 2 polls had a partisan sponsor. They are scored the same way.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: GBAO on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.