Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Echelon Insights
Ranked 13 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 49 general-election polls this cycle (number 9 of 251 pollsters by volume), 13 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 13
- Average miss
- 5.0
- Leaned
- R+4.6
- Leader won
- 88%
- Vs. field
- −0.1
- Score
- −0.1
Leaned is over 12 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 13 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its 13 polls is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 8.8 | R+8.8 | 100% | +3.9 | 26 |
| Senate | 6 | 3.6 | R+2.9 | 92% | −1.1 | 11 |
| Governor | 6 | 5.7 | R+5.4 | 83% | +0.2 | 12 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Its final margins sat 3.3 points from the other pollsters’ average where sampling predicts 4.7 (10 polls): a ratio of 0.70. Under 1 is closer to the pack than chance allows.
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteOct 16 to Oct 23 · 2,907 likely voters · count not finalDemocrats 51, Republicans 46; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+5.0 | D+13.8 | R+8.8 | 5.0 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Florida SenateOct 16 to Oct 23 · 515 likely votersAngie Nixon 43, Ashley Moody 51; count 48.0 to 50.9 | R+8.0 | R+2.9 | R+5.1 | 2.9 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Georgia SenateOct 16 to Oct 23 · 508 likely votersJon Ossoff 55, Mike Collins 40; count 59.0 to 41.0 | D+15.0 | D+18.1 | R+3.1 | 10.1 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Iowa SenateOct 16 to Oct 23 · 403 likely votersJosh Turek 45, Ashley Hinson 43; count 50.5 to 46.3 | D+2.0 | D+4.2 | R+2.2 | 3.9 | Release |
| Maine SenateOct 16 to Oct 23 · 413 likely votersTroy Jackson 51, Susan Collins 44; count 53.0 to 47.0 | D+7.0 | D+6.1 | D+0.9 | 3.4 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Nebraska SenateOct 16 to Oct 23 · 407 likely votersPete Ricketts 47, Dan Osborn 46; count 50.1 to 43.9 | Ricketts +1.0 | Ricketts +6.2 | 5.2 | 5.6 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Ohio SenateOct 16 to Oct 23 · 508 likely votersSherrod Brown 47, Jon Husted 47; count 50.0 to 45.1 | Even | D+4.8 | R+4.8 | 2.4 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Florida governorOct 16 to Oct 23 · 515 likely votersDavid Jolly 44, Byron Donalds 50; count 48.7 to 50.0 | R+6.0 | R+1.3 | R+4.7 | 3.1 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Georgia governorOct 16 to Oct 23 · 508 likely votersKeisha Lance Bottoms 49, Rick Jackson 48; count 54.3 to 45.7 | D+1.0 | D+8.7 | R+7.7 | 9.0 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Iowa governorOct 16 to Oct 23 · 403 likely votersRob Sand 50, Zach Lahn 46; count 55.5 to 44.4 | D+4.0 | D+11.1 | R+7.1 | 3.8 | Release |
| Maine governorOct 16 to Oct 23 · 413 likely votersHannah Pingree 51, Bobby Charles 38; count 54.4 to 37.5 | D+13.0 | D+16.9 | R+3.9 | 7.1 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Nebraska governorOct 16 to Oct 23 · 407 likely votersLynne Walz 40, Jim Pillen 47; count 42.5 to 50.5 | R+7.0 | R+8.0 | D+1.0 | 6.1 | Releasefor NetChoice |
| Ohio governorOct 16 to Oct 23 · 508 likely votersAmy Acton 45, Vivek Ramaswamy 47; count 52.3 to 44.4 | R+2.0 | D+7.9 | R+9.9 | 4.0 | Releasefor NetChoice |
Releases: National House vote · Florida Senate · Georgia Senate · Iowa Senate · Maine Senate · Nebraska Senate · Ohio Senate · Florida governor · Georgia governor · Iowa governor · Maine governor · Nebraska governor · Ohio governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Echelon Insights on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.