Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Concord Public Opinion Partners
Ranked 28 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 18 general-election polls this cycle (number 38 of 251 pollsters by volume), 9 of them a final poll of a race. 100% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.
- Final polls
- 9
- Average miss
- 9.4
- Leaned
- D+5.2
- Leader won
- 56%
- Vs. field
- +4.9
- Score
- +3.1
Leaned is over 6 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 9 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 5 | 10.3 | D+1.1 | 40% | +6.1 | 8 |
| Governor | 4 | 8.2 | D+7.3 | 75% | +3.4 | 10 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan SenateOct 30 to Nov 1 · 510 likely voters · Democratic sponsorAbdul El-Sayed 51, Mike Rogers 41; count 52.5 to 45.5 | D+10.0 | D+7.0 | D+3.0 | 2.8 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| Montana SenateOct 22 to Oct 23 · 410 likely voters · Democratic sponsorKurt Alme 38, Seth Bodnar 39; count 48.2 to 37.7 | Bodnar +1.0 | Alme +10.4 | 11.4 | 6.1 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| Nebraska SenateOct 15 to Oct 18 · 500 likely voters · Democratic sponsorPete Ricketts 41, Dan Osborn 48; count 50.1 to 43.9 | Osborn +7.0 | Ricketts +6.2 | 13.2 | 4.6 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| Ohio SenateOct 22 to Oct 24 · 469 likely voters · Democratic sponsorSherrod Brown 46, Jon Husted 42; count 50.0 to 45.1 | D+4.0 | D+4.8 | R+0.8 | 2.6 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| South Dakota SenateOct 22 to Oct 26 · 448 likely voters · Democratic sponsorMike Rounds 41, Brian L Bengs 43; count 60.5 to 39.5 | Bengs +2.0 | Rounds +21.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| Michigan governorOct 30 to Nov 1 · 510 likely voters · Democratic sponsorJocelyn Benson 50, John James 41; count 54.5 to 43.7 | D+9.0 | D+10.8 | R+1.8 | 2.9 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| Nebraska governorOct 15 to Oct 18 · 500 likely voters · Democratic sponsorLynne Walz 43, Jim Pillen 40; count 42.5 to 50.5 | D+3.0 | R+8.0 | D+11.0 | 4.7 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| Ohio governorOct 22 to Oct 24 · 469 likely voters · Democratic sponsorAmy Acton 49, Vivek Ramaswamy 39; count 52.3 to 44.4 | D+10.0 | D+7.9 | D+2.1 | 4.4 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
| South Dakota governorOct 22 to Oct 26 · 448 likely voters · Democratic sponsorDan Ahlers 39, Larry Rhoden 48; count 36.5 to 63.5 | R+9.0 | R+27.0 | D+18.0 | 7.2 | Releasefor Education Reform Now Advocacy |
Releases: Michigan Senate · Montana Senate · Nebraska Senate · Ohio Senate · South Dakota Senate · Michigan governor · Nebraska governor · Ohio governor · South Dakota governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
9 of these 9 polls had a partisan sponsor. They are scored the same way.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.