Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
CNN/SSRS
Ranked 5 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 24 general-election polls this cycle (number 29 of 251 pollsters by volume), 9 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 9
- Average miss
- 3.6
- Leaned
- R+3.3
- Leader won
- 78%
- Vs. field
- −1.5
- Score
- −1.0
Leaned is over 9 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 9 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 1 of its 9 polls is of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 1 | 3.8 | R+3.8 | 100% | −1.3 | 8 |
| Senate | 4 | 2.3 | R+2.3 | 100% | −2.3 | 8 |
| Governor | 4 | 4.7 | R+4.1 | 50% | −0.8 | 8 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House voteOct 15 to Oct 18 · 1,206 registered voters · count not finalDemocrats 49, Republicans 39; count 56.2 to 42.3 | D+10.0 | D+13.8 | R+3.8 | 5.1 | Release |
| Kansas SenateOct 20 to Oct 26 · 838 likely votersAdam Hamilton 49, Roger Marshall 45; count 51.0 to 46.0 | D+4.0 | D+5.1 | R+1.1 | 3.2 | Release |
| Maine SenateOct 20 to Oct 26 · 783 likely votersTroy Jackson 49, Susan Collins 45; count 53.0 to 47.0 | D+4.0 | D+6.1 | R+2.1 | 3.3 | Release |
| Michigan SenateOct 20 to Oct 27 · 768 likely votersAbdul El-Sayed 49, Mike Rogers 42; count 52.5 to 45.5 | D+7.0 | D+7.0 | Even | 2.9 | Release |
| Texas SenateOct 20 to Oct 27 · 923 likely votersJames Talarico 49, Ken Paxton 43; count 55.1 to 43.0 | D+6.0 | D+12.1 | R+6.1 | 8.9 | Release |
| Kansas governorOct 20 to Oct 26 · 838 likely votersCindy Holscher 45, Ty Masterson 50; count 50.4 to 49.6 | R+5.0 | D+0.7 | R+5.7 | 3.1 | Release |
| Maine governorOct 20 to Oct 26 · 783 likely votersHannah Pingree 53, Bobby Charles 39; count 54.4 to 37.5 | D+14.0 | D+16.9 | R+2.9 | 7.2 | Release |
| Michigan governorOct 20 to Oct 27 · 768 likely votersJocelyn Benson 53, John James 41; count 54.5 to 43.7 | D+12.0 | D+10.8 | D+1.3 | 3.0 | Release |
| Texas governorOct 20 to Oct 27 · 923 likely votersGina Hinojosa 46, Greg Abbott 48; count 52.8 to 45.7 | R+2.0 | D+7.1 | R+9.1 | 9.0 | Release |
Releases: National House vote · Kansas Senate · Maine Senate · Michigan Senate · Texas Senate · Kansas governor · Maine governor · Michigan governor · Texas governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.