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2026 midtermsAnalysis

Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard

Blueprint Polling

Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 5 general-election polls this cycle (number 102 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race. 60% of its polls this cycle were paid for by a party, a campaign or an aligned group.

Final polls
2
Average miss
1.1
Leaned
D+1.1
Leader won
100%
Vs. field
−7.0
Score
−2.0

Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 2 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.

By race type

Race typePollsAvg. missLeanedLeader wonVs. fieldAll its polls, 2026
National House vote0————0
Senate11.2D+1.2100%−7.21
Governor10.9D+0.9100%−6.71
House districts0————3

Every scored poll

ContestPollResultMissed towardField missSource
Alabama SenateOct 22 to Oct 24 · 695 likely votersEverett Wess 39.5, Barry Moore 47.8; count 45.2 to 54.7R+8.3R+9.5D+1.28.4Release
Alabama governorOct 22 to Oct 24 · 695 likely votersDoug Jones 44.9, Tommy Tuberville 47.9; count 47.9 to 51.8R+3.0R+3.9D+0.97.7Release

From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.

A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.