Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company Research (Fox News)
Ranked 22 of 28 pollsters with 5 or more final polls. 41 general-election polls this cycle (number 14 of 251 pollsters by volume), 6 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 6
- Average miss
- 7.2
- Leaned
- R+7.2
- Leader won
- 67%
- Vs. field
- +1.5
- Score
- +0.8
Leaned is over 6 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 6 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 7 |
| Senate | 3 | 6.1 | R+6.0 | 67% | +1.4 | 15 |
| Governor | 3 | 8.3 | R+8.3 | 67% | +1.7 | 18 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maine SenateOct 16 to Oct 20 · 1,514 likely votersTroy Jackson 49, Susan Collins 49; count 53.0 to 47.0 | Even | D+6.1 | R+6.1 | 3.0 | Releasefor Fox News |
| Ohio SenateOct 15 to Oct 19 · 1,592 likely votersSherrod Brown 52, Jon Husted 47; count 50.0 to 45.1 | D+5.0 | D+4.8 | D+0.1 | 2.7 | Releasefor Fox News |
| Texas SenateOct 15 to Oct 19 · 1,398 likely votersJames Talarico 49, Ken Paxton 49; count 55.1 to 43.0 | Even | D+12.1 | R+12.1 | 8.6 | Releasefor Fox News |
| Maine governorOct 16 to Oct 20 · 1,514 likely votersHannah Pingree 49, Bobby Charles 39; count 54.4 to 37.5 | D+10.0 | D+16.9 | R+6.9 | 6.8 | Releasefor Fox News |
| Ohio governorOct 15 to Oct 19 · 1,592 likely votersAmy Acton 50, Vivek Ramaswamy 48; count 52.3 to 44.4 | D+2.0 | D+7.9 | R+5.9 | 4.2 | Releasefor Fox News |
| Texas governorOct 15 to Oct 19 · 1,398 likely votersGina Hinojosa 47, Greg Abbott 52; count 52.8 to 45.7 | R+5.0 | D+7.1 | R+12.1 | 8.9 | Releasefor Fox News |
Releases: Maine Senate · Ohio Senate · Texas Senate · Maine governor · Ohio governor · Texas governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.