Analysis · 2026 pollster scorecard
Alaska Survey Research
Scored, not ranked: 2 final polls, and a rank takes 5. 22 general-election polls this cycle (number 32 of 251 pollsters by volume), 2 of them a final poll of a race.
- Final polls
- 2
- Average miss
- 0.9
- Leaned
- R+0.9
- Leader won
- —
- Vs. field
- −1.8
- Score
- −0.5
Leaned is over 2 polls of Democrat-versus-Republican races; leader won is over 0 polls in called races. Official counts as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST, with 22 of 506 races still being counted; 2 of its 2 polls are of a count that is not final.
By race type
| Race type | Polls | Avg. miss | Leaned | Leader won | Vs. field | All its polls, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National House vote | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
| Senate | 1 | 0.5 | R+0.5 | — | −0.9 | 13 |
| Governor | 1 | 1.3 | R+1.3 | — | −2.7 | 6 |
| House districts | 0 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Every scored poll
| Contest | Poll | Result | Missed toward | Field miss | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska SenateOct 26 to Oct 29 · 1,326 likely voters · count not finalMary Peltola 47.7, Dan Sullivan 45.9; count 49.2 to 47.0 | D+1.8 | D+2.3 | R+0.5 | 1.4 | Release |
| Alaska governorOct 23 to Oct 25 · 1,068 likely voters · count not finalJonathan S. "JKT" Kreiss-Tomkins 50.7, Bernadette M. Wilson 30.6; count 50.2 to 28.8 | D+20.1 | D+21.4 | R+1.3 | 4.0 | Release |
Releases: Alaska Senate · Alaska governor
From the New York Times table, every poll on this page.
A poll’s margin is between the two candidates who finished first and second, in points; the result is the official count as of Nov 13, 5:39 PM EST. “Missed toward” names the party the poll favored compared with the result. How the score works is on the scorecard. Earlier elections and every 2026 poll: Alaska Survey Research on the pollsters page.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.