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2026 midtermsResults

2026 results · Tennessee · Tennessee Senate

Bill Hagerty, the Republican, wins re-election to the Senate in Tennessee

Donald Trump carried Tennessee by 29.7 points in 2024; this year's count is a 17.6-point move toward the Democrats.

Tennessee Senate: votes counted for each candidate
CandidateVotesShareShare of the vote
Bill HagertyRepublican, incumbent1,138,45755.1%
Marquita BradshawDemocrat886,97442.9%
8 others41,4592.0%

Called by Call the Map, Nov 3, 9:53 PM EST · 96% counted.

About 96% of the expected vote counted2,066,890 votesCount last changed Nov 7, 1:04 PM EST · checked Nov 7, 5:11 PM ESTSource: the official state and county counts, gathered by civicAPI

The map

Loading the map.

What moved most

Scroll through Tennessee, part by part. The parts follow the federal government’s metropolitan areas: each big metro’s core counties, its suburbs and outer suburbs, the smaller metro areas, then the small towns and countryside.

What the count shows

Added together, the 95 counties compared moved 17.6 points toward the Democrats from the 2024 presidential vote.

The counties compared cast 67% as many votes as in 2024, from 76% in Davidson County to 45% in Scott County. Turnout and the move from 2024 were barely related.

Rutherford County moved most: R+21.8 for president in 2024, D+0.2 this year

The 10 counties with the largest moves from the 2024 presidential vote, among those with 2,000 or more votes for president in 2024 and a quarter of that counted, and at least half a percent of the state's 2024 vote. Each line runs from the 2024 margin to this year’s.

CountyR+60EvenD+60Move
Rutherford County100,344 votes22.0 pts → D
Warren County9,932 votes19.4 pts → D
Hamblen County15,330 votes19.2 pts → D
Cheatham County13,949 votes18.7 pts → D
Bedford County12,739 votes18.6 pts → D
Montgomery County55,954 votes18.5 pts → D
Anderson County23,688 votes18.2 pts → D
Knox County156,270 votes17.6 pts → D
Davidson County221,227 votes17.3 pts → D
Dickson County15,744 votes17.3 pts → D

2024 president 2026

Knox County added 40,353 net votes for Bradshaw against the 2024 margin, 6% of the statewide change

Across the 95 counties compared, the margin moved by 659,117 votes toward Bradshaw: this year’s lead in votes against the 2024 presidential lead in votes, county by county. The figure counts voters who changed sides and differences in who turned out alike; the count cannot tell them apart.

  1. Knox County+40,353 Bradshaw
  2. Rutherford County+32,383 Bradshaw
  3. Hamilton County+25,979 Bradshaw
  4. Sumner County+24,875 Bradshaw
  5. Sullivan County+22,824 Bradshaw
  6. Williamson County+22,301 Bradshaw
  7. Davidson County+19,451 Bradshaw
  8. Wilson County+19,438 Bradshaw

3 counties Donald Trump carried in 2024 are led by Bradshaw this year

Striped on the map above. Largest first.

  • Hamilton CountyR+13.0D+2.6
  • Rutherford CountyR+21.8D+0.2
  • Montgomery CountyR+18.4D+0.1

What the places that moved have in common

Each of Tennessee’s counties, set against the Census Bureau’s figures for who lives there. A pattern across counties, not an exit poll: it does not say how any group of people voted.

Urban, suburban and rural counties

Urban2 counties, 23% of the vote14.4 pts → D
Suburban32 counties, 58% of the vote16.7 pts → D
Rural61 counties, 19% of the vote12.6 pts → D

2024 president 2026 · Urban: 1,000 or more residents per square mile; suburban: 100 to 999; rural: under 100 (our grouping).

Census Bureau ACS 2019–2023 and 2023 Gazetteer; a county joins once its count is substantially in.

StatewideRepublicans won all 2 of Tennessee's statewide races.

  1. U.S. SenateThis raceBill HagertyR+12.2
  2. GovernorMarsha BlackburnR+2.5

won leads, still counting changed party. Margins are the leader’s share minus the runner-up’s, in points.

Every count on this page is the official count, from the state and its counties. Counts are unofficial until the state certifies them. The 2024 comparison is the presidential vote, Kamala Harris against Donald Trump, on the same ground. Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican, in points of all votes.