NE-2 House polls 2026
Denise Powell (D) vs Generic Republican (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+9.2the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls33 on file · 2 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateOct 5Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-05 (34 days old)
EditionNov 3the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, D+9.2, is of two polls, which run from D+4.0 to D+12.0. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+10.5.
Every poll on file · 3
newest added first2 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●National Public AffairsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 377 LV | D+12.0Denise Powell 50Brinker Harding 38Don't know 6Eric Michael Foreman 6 | 0.38 | Poll document | ||
| ●SurveyUSAGeneral | 182 LV | D+4.0Denise Powell 46Brinker Harding 42Don't know 9Someone else 4 | 0.20 | Poll release | ||
| Public Policy PollingGeneral | 594 RV | D+5.0Denise Powell 44Generic Republican 39+2 other releases | not in the average | Pollster post |
Poll archive as of November 3, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.