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FORECAST40 DAYS OUT
Race polling · HOU-CO-8

CO-8 House polls

Manny Rutinel (D) vs Gabe Evans (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateTiedsame figure as the race page
Polls22 recorded polls · 2 eligible for the aggregate · 2 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 17Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-17 (7 days old)
EditionSep 24weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

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last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 2

newest first

2 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
McLaughlin & AssociatesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan400 LVGabe Evans 48Manny Rutinel 46.3Don't know 5.717h ago0.177Poll release
McLaughlin and AssociatesGeneral · R sponsor · R partisan400 LVGabe Evans 48Manny Rutinel 4610h ago0.243Poll release

Archive source date 2026-09-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.