2026 results · West Virginia
Shelley Moore Capito, the Republican, wins West Virginia’s Senate race by 20.4 points
Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 41.9 points in 2024; the Senate race moved 21.4 points toward Democrats.
In the House, every one of the two contested seats moved toward Democrats, the median one 23.5 points (the largest median move of the 44 states with two or more).
Who won each county, and how far it moved
West Virginia’s two House seats
← moved toward Democrats, → toward Republicans, in points from the 2024 presidential vote in the district. * still counting: the expected finish.
Close up: the four counties that moved most
In the Senate race, these moved furthest toward Democrats, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.
Berkeley County
Moved 27.7 points toward Democrats: R+35.8 for president in 2024; Shelley Moore Capito, the Republican, carried it at R+8.1.
33,649 votes counted, 56,102 cast in 2024.
Lincoln County
Moved 24.8 points toward Democrats: R+62.5 for president in 2024; Shelley Moore Capito, the Republican, carried it at R+37.7.
3,400 votes counted, 7,187 cast in 2024.
Wayne County
Moved 24.6 points toward Democrats: R+53.4 for president in 2024; Shelley Moore Capito, the Republican, carried it at R+28.7.
8,356 votes counted, 15,747 cast in 2024.
Fayette County
Moved 24.3 points toward Democrats: R+41.8 for president in 2024; Shelley Moore Capito, the Republican, carried it at R+17.5.
8,813 votes counted, 15,620 cast in 2024.
No county compared moved the other way.
Who lives where it moved
Barely related across counties. On average, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 0.1 points more Republican (r = −0.02).
By place
By race and ethnicity
Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.
Every race in West Virginia
Senate and governor
House
Ballot measures
Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.
Ticket splitting
Across the 55 counties that lie wholly in one district, the Senate race went R+20.4 and the House races R+18.2: the Senate margin ran 2.2 points more Republican than the House margin. One county was carried by different parties in the two.
Points of difference between the Senate margin and the House margin in each county.
54011carried by different parties
- Senate
- R+2.6Anderson against Capito
- House
- D+0.2the district's race
- Difference
- R+2.8Capito ran ahead
- Votes
- about 22,246
- 54039D+0.6D+12.2R+11.6
- 54003R+8.1R+12.8D+4.7
- 54061D+17.4D+20.7R+3.3
- 54107R+25.1R+25.5D+0.5
- 54011R+2.6D+0.2R+2.8
- 54037D+4.9D+1.5D+3.4
- 54033R+19.6R+19.3R+0.2
- 54081R+33.7R+30.1R+3.5
- 54079R+26.0R+20.5R+5.6
- 54049R+8.1R+7.6R+0.5
- 54055R+39.9R+38.3R+1.6
- 54069R+14.6R+11.5R+3.0
- 54025R+23.2R+20.3R+2.9
- 54019R+17.5R+12.7R+4.7
- 54077R+33.9R+36.3D+2.4
- 54099R+28.7R+27.2R+1.5
- 54035R+37.7R+33.5R+4.2
- 54051R+32.1R+30.5R+1.6
- 54029R+31.6R+32.2D+0.6
- 54057R+44.8R+46.5D+1.6
- 54083R+26.1R+26.10
- 54053R+35.2R+33.9R+1.2
- 54027R+43.5R+50.2D+6.7
- 54067R+40.9R+36.8R+4.1
- 54065R+35.0R+37.4D+2.4
- 54097R+36.2R+37.0D+0.9
- 54045R+47.4R+40.2R+7.2
- 54009R+29.5R+28.0R+1.5
- 54005R+34.6R+23.0R+11.6
- 54091R+29.5R+29.4R+0.1
- 54041R+37.2R+41.1D+3.9
- 54031R+43.2R+42.8R+0.4
- 54059R+50.0R+45.4R+4.7
- 54063R+41.5R+39.2R+2.3
- 54001R+37.0R+39.3D+2.3
- 54103R+35.1R+33.9R+1.2
- 54043R+37.7R+33.7R+4.0
- 54109R+52.3R+46.7R+5.6
- 54089R+37.5R+32.0R+5.5
- 54007R+33.4R+29.2R+4.2
- 54087R+33.5R+30.8R+2.7
- 54023R+65.1R+66.2D+1.1
- 54093R+28.4R+28.6D+0.2
- 54047R+39.3R+35.1R+4.2
- 54085R+56.9R+59.0D+2.1
- 54075R+28.3R+26.5R+1.8
- 54071R+46.7R+39.5R+7.2
- 54073R+39.6R+41.7D+2.1
- 54105R+48.0R+45.2R+2.8
- 54095R+51.2R+53.2D+2.0
- 54015R+43.6R+36.3R+7.4
- 54101R+47.5R+42.9R+4.6
- 54013R+44.4R+39.8R+4.6
- 54017R+58.8R+61.9D+3.1
- 54021R+36.9R+29.9R+7.1
Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.
West Virginia’s legislature
Counts are West Virginia’s official state and county counts, published by the West Virginia Secretary of State. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.