2026 results · Vermont
Vermont moved 38 points toward Republicans as Phil Scott won the governor's race by 6.6 points
Kamala Harris carried Vermont by 31.8 points in 2024.
It is the largest move of the 66 Senate and governor's races between a Democrat and a Republican.
Who won each county, and how far it moved
Vermont’s one House seat
Held by Democrats before the election. Becca Balint, the Democrat, won it, D+34.4.
Close up: the four counties that moved most
In the governor's race, these moved furthest toward Republicans, among counties with 2,000 or more votes in 2024 and at least half a percent of the state’s.
Grand Isle County
Moved 49.7 points toward Republicans: D+21.1 for president in 2024; Phil Scott, the Republican, carried it at R+28.6. The county changed sides.
4,278 votes counted, 4,967 cast in 2024.
Lamoille County
Moved 47.3 points toward Republicans: D+35.8 for president in 2024; Phil Scott, the Republican, carried it at R+11.5. The county changed sides.
12,506 votes counted, 14,757 cast in 2024.
Chittenden County
Moved 47.0 points toward Republicans: D+53.6 for president in 2024; Amanda Janoo, the Democrat, carried it at D+6.6.
84,142 votes counted, 96,405 cast in 2024.
Washington County
Moved 42.2 points toward Republicans: D+43.4 for president in 2024; Amanda Janoo, the Democrat, carried it at D+1.1.
31,092 votes counted, 35,058 cast in 2024.
No county compared moved the other way.
Who lives where it moved
Across counties, ten more points of adults with a degree went with a county about 5.1 points more Republican, on average (r = −0.65, a strong relationship).
By place
By race and ethnicity
Each group’s counties added together: its 2026 margin against its 2024 presidential margin. Census Bureau American Community Survey, 2019–2023. Counties, not voters: there are no exit polls here.
Every race in Vermont
Senate and governor
Other statewide offices
Margins are the winner’s or leader’s lead in points of all votes cast. * Still counting: where we expect the count to finish. The move is the 2026 margin against the 2024 presidential margin on the same ground, for races between a Democrat and a Republican.
Ticket splitting
Across the 14 counties that lie wholly in one district, the governor's race went R+6.6 and the House races D+34.4: the governor's margin ran 41.0 points more Republican than the House margin. 10 counties were carried by different parties in the two.
Points of difference between the Governor margin and the House margin in each county.
50027carried by different parties
- Governor
- R+2.1Janoo against Scott
- House
- D+39.2the district's race
- Difference
- R+41.3Scott ran ahead
- Votes
- about 28,166
- 50007D+6.6D+52.1R+45.4
- 50023D+1.1D+42.5R+41.4
- 50027R+2.1D+39.2R+41.3
- 50021R+31.1D+9.7R+40.8
- 50025D+20.1D+51.1R+31.1
- 50011R+36.1D+6.0R+42.1
- 50001R+2.7D+35.6R+38.3
- 50003R+6.6D+29.5R+36.1
- 50017R+12.9D+23.0R+35.9
- 50005R+20.1D+17.0R+37.1
- 50015R+11.5D+35.6R+47.1
- 50019R+33.4D+4.3R+37.7
- 50013R+28.6D+19.5R+48.1
- 50009R+44.3R+6.5R+37.8
Margins are the Democrat minus the Republican in points of all votes cast in that race, from the counts the state’s election office has published so far; a county still counting is compared on what it has counted in both. The House is compared only in counties that lie wholly inside one congressional district, so the county's House margin is one race's margin; a county divided between districts, or in a district without a Democrat against a Republican, is left out. A difference is not a count of split tickets: a voter who skipped one race moves it too.
Vermont’s legislature
Counts are Vermont’s official state and county counts, published by the Vermont Secretary of State. Where a race is still being counted, its margin is where we expect the count to finish, marked *. A move from 2024 is the 2026 margin against Kamala Harris’s margin over Donald Trump in the same place. A race is won when we call it or the state certifies it.